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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">rfhealth</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Здравоохранение Российской Федерации</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Health care of the Russian Federation</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">0044-197X</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2412-0723</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Federal Scientific Center of Hygiene named after F.F. Erisman</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.47470/0044-197X-2022-66-6-484-490</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">rfhealth-1019</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>ПРОБЛЕМЫ СОЦИАЛЬНО ЗНАЧИМЫХ ЗАБОЛЕВАНИЙ</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>PROBLEMS OF SOCIALLY SIGNIFICANT DISEASES</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Применение современных цифровых технологий в предиктивной аналитике факторов риска преждевременной смерти от социально значимых неинфекционных заболеваний (обзор литературы)</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>The use of modern digital technologies in predictive analysis of risk factors for premature death due to socially significant non-communicable diseases (literature review)</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9296-0233</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Безрукова</surname><given-names>Галина Александровна</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Bezrukova</surname><given-names>Galina A.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Доктор мед. наук, доцент, гл. науч. сотр. отдела медицины труда Саратовского медицинского научного центра гигиены ФБУН «Федеральный научный центр медико-профилактических технологий управления рисками здоровью населения», 410022, Саратов.</p><p>e-mail: bezrukovagala@yandex.ru</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>MD, PhD, DSci., chief researcher of department of occupational medicine, Saratov Hygiene Medical Research Center of the Federal Scientific Center for Medical and Preventive Health Risk Management Technologies, Saratov, 410022, Russian Federation.</p><p>e-mail: bezrukovagala@yandex.ru</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">bezrukovagala@yandex.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1463-0559</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Новикова</surname><given-names>Т. А.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Novikova</surname><given-names>Tamara A.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">noemail@neicon.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru">Саратовский медицинский научный центр гигиены ФБУН «Федеральный научный центр медико-профилактических технологий управления рисками здоровью населения»<country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en">Saratov Hygiene Medical Research Center of the Federal Scientific Center for Medical and Preventive Health Risk Management Technologies<country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2022</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>12</day><month>12</month><year>2022</year></pub-date><volume>66</volume><issue>6</issue><fpage>484</fpage><lpage>490</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Безрукова Г.А., Новикова Т.А., 2022</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2022</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Безрукова Г.А., Новикова Т.А.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Bezrukova G.A., Novikova T.A.</copyright-holder><license license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://www.rfhealth.ru/jour/article/view/1019">https://www.rfhealth.ru/jour/article/view/1019</self-uri><abstract><p>Эффективность реализации Концепции предиктивной, превентивной и персонализированной медицины напрямую связана с развитием и масштабированием процесса цифровизации здравоохранения, среди которых одну из лидирующих позиций занимают технологии искусственного интеллекта (ИИ-технологии). В полной мере это относится к проблеме предиктивной аналитики факторов риска (ФР) преждевременной смерти от социально значимых неинфекционных заболеваний (НИЗ).</p><p>Целью работы являлось обобщение современного отечественного и зарубежного опыта использования ИИ-технологий и машинного обучения (МО) в предиктивном анализе ФР преждевременной смерти от социально значимых НИЗ.</p><p>Поиск публикаций проводили по базам данных РИНЦ, КиберЛенинка, eLibrary и PubMed, содержащих российские и зарубежные источники научной информации за 2011–2021 гг.</p><p>В статье кратко сообщается о глобальных ФР преждевременной смерти от НИЗ, основное место среди которых занимают болезни системы кровообращения. Рассмотрены недостатки используемых в массовых обследованиях калькуляторов для определения суммарного риска фатальных сердечно-сосудистых событий (ССС): Фрамингемского и шкалы SCORE. Показано, что индивидуальная прогностическая эффективность калькуляторов может быть повышена за счёт технологий МО, использующих при обучении большие данные о состоянии здоровья населения определённых регионов, цифровизации медицинских изображений и расширения структурированных баз спектра ФР, дающего возможность распознавать и учитывать сложные взаимосвязи между множественными, коррелированными и нелинейными ФР и исходами ССС. Даны примеры прогностической эффективности моделей МО. Особое внимание уделено ИИ-технологиям и глубокому МО в стратификации риска и исходов ССС на основании аналитики изображений глазного дна.</p><sec><title>Заключение</title><p>Заключение. Внедрение ИИ-технологий и МО в клиническую практику открывает перспективу достижения эффективной индивидуализированной стратификации риска преждевременной смерти от хронических НИЗ и их персонифицированной факторной профилактики за счёт своевременной оптимизации модифицируемых ФР социально значимых заболеваний.</p></sec><sec><title>Участие авторов</title><p>Участие авторов: Безрукова Г.А. — концепция исследования, сбор и обработка материала, написание текста, составление списка литературы, редактирование; Новикова Т.А. — сбор и обработка материала, написание текста, составление списка литературы. Все соавторы — утверждение окончательного варианта статьи, ответственность за целостность всех частей статьи.</p></sec><sec><title>Финансирование</title><p>Финансирование. Исследование не имело спонсорской поддержки.</p></sec><sec><title>Конфликт интересов</title><p>Конфликт интересов. Авторы декларируют отсутствие явных и потенциальных конфликтов интересов в связи с публикацией данной статьи.</p></sec><sec><title>Поступила 12</title><p>Поступила 12.08.2022Принята в печать 07.09.2022Опубликована 12.12.2022</p></sec></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>The effectiveness of the implementation of the Concept of predictive, preventive and personalized medicine is directly related to the development and scaling of the process of digitalization of healthcare with the leading position occupied by artificial intelligence technologies (AI technologies). This fully applies to the problem of predictive analysis of risk factors for premature death from socially significant non-communicable diseases (NCDs). </p><p>The purpose of the work was to summarize the current domestic and foreign experience of using AI technologies and machine learning (ML) in predictive analysis of risk factors for premature death from socially significant non-communicable diseases. </p><p>The search for publications was carried out in the RSCI, CyberLeninka, eLibrary, and PubMed databases containing domestic and foreign sources of scientific information. The search depth covered period from 2011 to 2021. More than 50 sources of scientific information were analyzed. </p><p>The article briefly reports on the global risk factors (RF) of premature death due to NCDs, the main place among which is occupied by diseases of the circulatory system. The disadvantages of calculators used in mass examinations to determine the total risk of fatal cardiovascular events (CVE) are considered ¾ Framingham scale and SCORE scale. It is shown that the individual predictive efficiency of calculators can be increased due to ML technologies that use big data on the health status of the population in certain regions, digitalization of medical images, and expansion of structured databases of the RF spectrum, which makes it possible to recognize and take into account complex relationships between multiple, correlated, and nonlinear RF and CVE outcomes. Examples of the predictive effectiveness of ML models are given. Special attention is paid to AI technologies and deep ML in the stratification of CVE risk and outcomes based on the analysis of images of the fundus the eye.</p><sec><title>Conclusion</title><p>Conclusion. The introduction of AI technologies and ML in clinical practice opens up the prospect of achieving an effective individualized stratification of the risk of premature death due to chronic NCDs and their factor of personalized prevention through timely optimization of socially significant diseases modifiable by the F.</p><p>Contribution of the authors: Bezrukova G.A. — research concept, collection and processing of material, writing the text, compilation of the list of literature, editing; Novikova T.A. — collection and processing of material, writing the text, compilation of the list of literature.All authors are responsible for the integrity of all parts of the manuscript and approval of the manuscript final version.</p></sec><sec><title>Acknowledgment</title><p>Acknowledgment. The study had no sponsorship.</p></sec><sec><title>Conflict of interest</title><p>Conflict of interest. The authors declare no conflict of interest.</p></sec><sec><title>Received</title><p>Received: August 12, 2022 Accepted: September 07, 2022Published: December 12, 2022</p></sec></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>искусственный интеллект в медицине и здравоохранении</kwd><kwd>предиктивная аналитика</kwd><kwd>анализ медицинских изображений</kwd><kwd>системы поддержки принятия врачебных решений</kwd><kwd>машинное обучение</kwd><kwd>болезни системы кровообращения</kwd><kwd>сахарный диабет</kwd><kwd>обзор</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>artificial intelligence in medicine and healthcare</kwd><kwd>predictive analytics</kwd><kwd>analysis of medical images</kwd><kwd>medical decision support systems</kwd><kwd>machine learning</kwd><kwd>blood circulatory system diseases</kwd><kwd>diabetes mellitus</kwd><kwd>review</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Вялков А.И., Гундаров И.А., Полесский В.А. 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